July 25th Daily Market Comments

Yesterday the Dow is down and the NASDAQ was up. Today the Dow is up and the NASDAQ is down. Clearly indicating there is no definite bullish consensus in the overall market, merely funds shifting from sector to sector. When the market remains indecisive/choppy, the combination of candlestick signals being confirmed by the T-line becomes a good probability trend indicator.

Trending Stocks: ESPR, GLPG, SRPT

ESPERION THERAPEUTICS (ESPR)

Chart for ESPR

Over the next 13 weeks, ESPERION THERAPEUTICS has on average historically risen by 4.1% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

ESPERION THERAPEUTICS has risen higher by an average 4.1% in 2 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, based on historical prices, is 37 weeks. Should ESPERION THERAPEUTICS stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 276% could result.

Galapagos (GLPG)

Chart for GLPG

Over the next 13 weeks, Galapagos has on average historically fallen by 4.7% based on the past 6 years of stock performance.

Galapagos has fallen lower by an average 4.7% in 4 of those 6 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Galapagos, based on historical prices, is 46 weeks. Should Galapagos stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 58% could result.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT)

Chart for SRPT

Over the next 13 weeks, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. has on average historically risen by 39.3% based on the past 20 years of stock performance.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. has risen higher by an average 39.3% in 12 of those 20 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc., based on historical prices, is 12 weeks. Should Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 226% could result.

July 24th Daily Market Comments

Summer doldrums or consolidation? It doesn’t matter, currently the markets are not showing any great strength one way or the other. This is probably a function of it be in the middle of the summer and there is nothing currently that is stimulating Bullish or Bearish sentiment. In these market conditions, holding existing positions require the simple trend analysis, our long positions remaining above the T-line and are short positions remaining below the T-line. Adding any new positions requires very compelling buy or sell signals. Anticipate some boredom.

July 21st Daily Market Comments

The hanging man signal that formed in the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 Yesterday provided a little bit of a warning of potential profit-taking if the markets opened lower Today. There are no significant signals in. Those indexes that would indicate a major change of investor sentiment, the NASDAQ is still trading above the 3T-line. The Dow is currently trading below the T-line. If it closes at the lower end of today’s trading range, that would show a breach of the Frypan Bottom trajectory that had been remaining above the T-line. That pattern requires the Dow to close above the T-line Today to maintain the Frypan Bottom Analysis. A close below the T-line would imply more sideways movement on a short-term time frame.

July 20th Daily Market Comments

The lack of movement in the markets today still indicate there is no major change of investor sentiment. The Dow, although trading lower, has use the T-line once again as support and trading above the T-line. A slow moving market is not a deterrent. Numerous Bullish Candlestick Charts continue to act very well based upon the fact that there is no evidence of bearish pressure in this trend. Continue to maintain the long positions simply by staying in positions that are not showing any candlestick reversal signals or trading below the T-line.

Trending Stocks: AAOI, PBYI, QDEL, VRTX

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS (AAOI)

Chart for AAOI

Over the next 13 weeks, APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS has on average historically risen by 25.3% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS has risen higher by an average 25.3% in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS, based on historical prices, is 47 weeks. Should APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 185% could result.

Puma Biotechnology, Inc. (PBYI)

Chart for PBYI

Over the next 13 weeks, Puma Biotechnology, Inc. has on average historically risen by 58.9% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

Puma Biotechnology, Inc. has risen higher by an average 58.9% in 3 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Puma Biotechnology, Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Puma Biotechnology, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 1132% could result.

Quidel Corp. (QDEL)

Chart for QDEL

Over the next 13 weeks, Quidel Corp. has on average historically risen by 9.3% based on the past 25 years of stock performance.

Quidel Corp. has risen higher by an average 9.3% in 15 of those 25 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Quidel Corp., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Quidel Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 93% could result.

Vertex Pharma (VRTX)

Chart for VRTX

Over the next 13 weeks, Vertex Pharma has on average historically risen by 4.3% based on the past 25 years of stock performance.

Vertex Pharma has risen higher by an average 4.3% in 16 of those 25 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 64%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Vertex Pharma, based on historical prices, is 9 weeks. Should Vertex Pharma stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 58% could result.

July 19th Daily Market Comments

The uptrend remains in progress with a couple important messages being conveyed today. The NASDAQ and the S&P 500 have Gapped up through the highs from around 1 June. The gap up has occurred in the overbought condition. Depending upon how the markets close today will illustrate whether this was exhaustion in the overbought condition or the recent highs are not acting as resistance anymore. A close near the high end of the trading range in the indexes would indicate wave three is still in progress. A candlestick reversal signal, such as a Doji or a Shooting Star, would indicate the potential of Today’s gap up being an exhaustion of Bullish investor sentiment. Stay long but watch how the markets close Today.

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July 18th Daily Market Comments

The T-line becomes a much more relevant factor when trends are not showing a distinctive set of Bullish Candles or Bearish Candles. Slow oscillating Uptrends usually have Bullish days as well as Bearish days. The trend remains more defined as long as the Bearish days do not breach the Uptrending T-line. Although the market indexes are trading lower Today, they are still trading above the T-line. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 are using the 3T-line as support. This provides evidence that the Bulls are still very much in control, the breakout patterns of last week still reveal a wave three to be in progress. Continue to stay predominantly long, using the T-line as your final factor.

July 17th Daily Market Comments

The positive trading in the NASDAQ and S&P 500 show the wave three uptrend still in progress. The Dow, although trading flat Today, is still in a Frypan Bottom Trajectory. This illustrates the Bullish sentiment/Trend is still in progress. More evidence is seeing that AMZN,AAPL, NFLX are still in Uptrends, indicating the overall markets are not showing any signs of investor selling.  Maintain long positions that continue to trade above the T-line and not showing any sell signals.

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