December 8th Daily Market Comments

The market indexes continue to show great resiliency. The uptrend remains obviously in progress but be aware that the indexes have all moved substantially away from the T-line. This would imply some consolidation in the near future. Consolidation can consist of the markets moving sideways for a few days or some profit-taking pullback. Stay long until there is a definite reversal signal in the indexes and/or individual stock positions.

Trending Stocks: AAMC, BLUE, ONCE, SAGE, Z, ZG

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT (AAMC)

Chart for AAMC

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has on average historically fallen by 23.3% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has fallen lower by an average 23.3%in 2 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 42% could result.

BLUEBIRD BIO INC (BLUE)

Chart for BLUE

Over the next 13 weeks, BLUEBIRD BIO INC has on average historically risen by 32% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

BLUEBIRD BIO INC has risen higher by an average 32%in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for BLUEBIRD BIO INC, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should BLUEBIRD BIO INC stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 1194% could result.

Spark Therapeutics Inc (ONCE)

Chart for ONCE

Over the next 13 weeks, Spark Therapeutics Inc has on average historically risen by 7.8% based on the past 1 years of stock performance.

Spark Therapeutics Inc has risen higher by an average 7.8%in 1 of those 1 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Spark Therapeutics Inc, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Spark Therapeutics Inc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 519% could result.

Sage Therapeutics, Inc. (SAGE)

Chart for SAGE

Over the next 13 weeks, Sage Therapeutics, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 17.3% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Sage Therapeutics, Inc. has fallen lower by an average 17.3%in 2 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Sage Therapeutics, Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Sage Therapeutics, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 136% could result.

Zillow, Inc. (Z)

Chart for Z

Over the next 13 weeks, Zillow, Inc. has on average historically risen by 18.6% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

Zillow, Inc. has risen higher by an average 18.6%in 3 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Zillow, Inc., based on historical prices, is 37 weeks. Should Zillow, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 115% could result.

Zillow, Inc. (ZG)

Chart for ZG

Over the next 13 weeks, Zillow, Inc. has on average historically risen by 18.6% based on the past years of stock performance.

Zillow, Inc. has risen higher by an average 18.6%in 3 of those years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 0%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Zillow, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Zillow, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 113% could result.

December 7th Daily Market Comments

Note that the Dow is trading at the top of a trend channel, drawing a trend line through the April top and the July top. This is another good illustration that after the markets moved sideways for four months over the summer, the trading has now moved back up to what the upward trajectory would have been. This makes for being prepared for some profit-taking soon.

December 15th Daily Market Comments

Today’s positive trading continues the uptrend in the Dow, is currently forming a best friend/J-hook pattern backup above the T-line in the S&P 500, and has brought the NASDAQ back up to the T-line area, bouncing off the 50 day moving average with a Morning Star signal. Continue to stay predominantly long and watched the high tech stocks that have been selling off over the past couple weeks to see if they are starting to bounce back up.

Trending Stocks: BLUE, CLC, DCI, FLS, GM, LAZ

BLUEBIRD BIO INC (BLUE)

Chart for BLUE

Over the next 13 weeks, BLUEBIRD BIO INC has on average historically risen by 31.8% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

BLUEBIRD BIO INC has risen higher by an average 31.8% in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 66%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for BLUEBIRD BIO INC, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should BLUEBIRD BIO INC stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 736% could result.

CLARCOR Inc. (CLC)

Chart for CLC

Over the next 13 weeks, CLARCOR Inc. has on average historically risen by 5.9% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

CLARCOR Inc. has risen higher by an average 5.9%in 18 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 69%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for CLARCOR Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should CLARCOR Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 61% could result.

Donaldson Co. Inc. (DCI)

Chart for DCI

Over the next 13 weeks, Donaldson Co. Inc. has on average historically risen by 5% based on the past 29 years of stock performance.

Donaldson Co. Inc. has risen higher by an average 5%in 16 of those 29 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 55%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Donaldson Co. Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Donaldson Co. Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 69% could result.

FlowServe (FLS)

Chart for FLS

Over the next 13 weeks, FlowServe has on average historically risen by 5.7% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

FlowServe has risen higher by an average 5.7%in 16 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 61%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for FlowServe, based on historical prices, is 24 weeks. Should FlowServe stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 38% could result.

General Motors (GM)

Chart for GM

Over the next 13 weeks, General Motors has on average historically risen by 4.6% based on the past 6 years of stock performance.

General Motors has risen higher by an average 4.6%in 3 of those 6 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for General Motors, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should General Motors stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 125% could result.

Lazard Ltd. (LAZ)

Chart for LAZ

Over the next 13 weeks, Lazard Ltd. has on average historically risen by 8.2% based on the past 11 years of stock performance.

Lazard Ltd. has risen higher by an average 8.2%in 7 of those 11 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 63%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Lazard Ltd., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Lazard Ltd. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 47% could result.

December 1st Daily Market Comments

The candlestick charts allow for observing the obvious. Opinions about politics are discouraged in the candlestick forum chat room. However, when the results of political events appear to be affecting investor sentiment, that should be acknowledged.

Trending Stocks: AGM, ALXN, BERY, BLUE, PATK, THO

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. (AGM)

Chart for AGM

Over the next 13 weeks, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. has on average historically risen by 9% based on the past 21 years of stock performance.

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. has risen higher by an average 9%in 13 of those 21 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 61%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp., based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 62% could result.

Alexion Pharma (ALXN)

Chart for ALXN

Over the next 13 weeks, Alexion Pharma has on average historically risen by 24.6% based on the past 20 years of stock performance.

Alexion Pharma has risen higher by an average 24.6%in 12 of those 20 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 60%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Alexion Pharma, based on historical prices, is 12 weeks. Should Alexion Pharma stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 101% could result.

Berry Plastics Group, Inc. (BERY)

Chart for BERY

Over the next 13 weeks, Berry Plastics Group, Inc. has on average historically risen by 11.3% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Berry Plastics Group, Inc. has risen higher by an average 11.3%in 3 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 75%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Berry Plastics Group, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Berry Plastics Group, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 163% could result.

BLUEBIRD BIO INC (BLUE)

Chart for BLUE

Over the next 13 weeks, BLUEBIRD BIO INC has on average historically risen by 31.8% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

BLUEBIRD BIO INC has risen higher by an average 31.8%in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 66%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for BLUEBIRD BIO INC, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should BLUEBIRD BIO INC stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 736% could result.

Patrick Industries Inc. (PATK)

Chart for PATK

Over the next 13 weeks, Patrick Industries Inc. has on average historically risen by 14.9% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

Patrick Industries Inc. has risen higher by an average 14.9%in 18 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 69%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Patrick Industries Inc., based on historical prices, is 18 weeks. Should Patrick Industries Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 76% could result.

Thor Industries Inc. (THO)

Chart for THO

Over the next 13 weeks, Thor Industries Inc. has on average historically risen by 8.5% based on the past 29 years of stock performance.

Thor Industries Inc. has risen higher by an average 8.5%in 18 of those 29 years over the subsequent 13 week period, corresponding to a historical probability of 62%.

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Thor Industries Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Thor Industries Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 100% could result.

November 29th Daily Market Comments

Although the indexes are not trading with any great positive resiliency, they are illustrating that bullish sentiment has not disappeared. The uptrend remains in progress as long as the indexes continue to trade above the T-line. Continue to stay predominantly long, the candlestick patterns are working very well.

 

 

November 28th Daily Market Comments

Today’s selling has shown trading at the same level since the open, not demonstrating any dramatic selling pressure. This consolidation has not yet changed the trajectory or investor sentiment of this uptrend. Continue to stay long with the expectation of some profit-taking as the uptrend continues. This makes for a more solid uptrend with the lack of exuberance being demonstrated.

Trending Stocks: AMAG, CAL, DE, QADA, RDUS, VEEV, XPO

AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (AMAG)

Chart for AMAG

Over the next 13 weeks, AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has on average historically risen by 18.9% based on the past 30 years of stock performance.

AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has risen higherby an average 18.9%in 19 of those 30 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 63%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc., based on historical prices, is 13 weeks. Should AMAG Pharmaceuticals, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 76% could result.

Caleres Inc (CAL)

Chart for CAL

Over the next 13 weeks, Caleres Inc has on average historically risen by 8.8% based on the past 32 years of stock performance.

Caleres Inc has risen higherby an average 8.8%in 22 of those 32 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 68%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Caleres Inc, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Caleres Inc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 169% could result.

Deere (DE)

Chart for DE

Over the next 13 weeks, Deere has on average historically risen by 10.7% based on the past 32 years of stock performance.

Deere has risen higherby an average 10.7%in 27 of those 32 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 84%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Deere, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Deere stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 100% could result.

QAD Inc. (QADA)

Chart for QADA

Over the next 13 weeks, QAD Inc. has on average historically risen by 4.3% based on the past 6 years of stock performance.

QAD Inc. has risen higherby an average 4.3%in 4 of those 6 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for QAD Inc., based on historical prices, is 17 weeks. Should QAD Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 40% could result.

Radius Health, Inc. (RDUS)

Chart for RDUS

Over the next 13 weeks, Radius Health, Inc. has on average historically risen by 35.5% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Radius Health, Inc. has risen higherby an average 35.5%in 1 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Radius Health, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Radius Health, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 476% could result.

Veeva Systems Inc (VEEV)

Chart for VEEV

Over the next 13 weeks, Veeva Systems Inc has on average historically fallen by 7.2% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

Veeva Systems Inc has fallen lowerby an average 7.2%in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Veeva Systems Inc, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Veeva Systems Inc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 502% could result.

XPO Logistics, Inc. (XPO)

Chart for XPO

Over the next 13 weeks, XPO Logistics, Inc. has on average historically risen by 18.5% based on the past 13 years of stock performance.

XPO Logistics, Inc. has risen higherby an average 18.5%in 8 of those 13 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 61%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for XPO Logistics, Inc., based on historical prices, is 6 weeks. Should XPO Logistics, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 102% could result.