Archives for October 2018

October 19th Daily Market Comments

Be careful, the expected bounce today is providing a lot of positive trading in stocks but many stocks are not moving much from where they opened or are trading below where they opened albeit they are still trading positive. Short positions that have been showing bullish signals and are confirming today should be covered, but expect a couple days of choppiness in the markets before any major trend, either bullish or bearish will continue from here. Any trades placed over the next couple trading days should be done so with the idea that if things turn the opposite direction, go back to cash quickly.

 

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October 18th Daily Market Comments

The T-line remains a relevant factor when analyzing the indexes. The indecisive trading yesterday, although buying brought the indexes backup toward the top of their trading range, the T-line still needed to be addressed. Today’s lower trading continues to make the T-line a resistance level. Investor sentiment still needs time to recover from the hard selling of last week. Indecision still remains. If you cannot find compelling trade set ups, sit patiently in cash for a few more days.

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October 17th Daily Market Comments

As anticipated, after the large bullish move in the markets yesterday, profit-taking is in progress. Is Today’s trading profit-taking or a failure of the uptrend to start? A very easy trading strategy can be put into place. Today, watch the 10 minute chart. If there becomes an area where the movement of the markets start showing support on the 10 minute chart, aggressive buyers can start stepping in with the anticipation that yesterday’s bullish candlestick signals are still in effect. It will be important to see where the indexes close Today. Profit-taking would be indicated with the indexes closing near the high end of their trading range.

 

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October 16th Daily Market Comments

Today’s positive trading is selling gap ups in the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ. It is also confirming an inverted hammer signal in the Dow. Provided the trading stays strongly positive today, this will provide more healing of investor sentiment, adding to the prospects that this is putting the markets in a basing area. Long positions can be added but with the caveat that the markets need to close very bullish today. Bullish flutter kicker’s are acting well. Take advantage of the strong candlestick reversal signals, providing bigger profit opportunities if this market is going to reverse/rebound.

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October 15th Daily Market Comments

This basing action allows for identifying which individual stocks are trading with a new direction based upon identifying very strong reversal signals. Knowing what the top ranked candlestick signals illustrate allows investors to take advantage of price movements well before the rest of the market enters those trades i.e. AMCX and DERM bullish flutter kicker, ACOR McMuffin,TLRY wedge breakout. The analysis of the ETFs, such as NUGT, allows for identifying strong buying in the gold sector. Although the markets remain in an indecisive consolidation stage, there are stocks/sectors that continue to produce good profits. The biggies, AMZN, AAAPL, NVDA etc. are not yet showing any reversal.

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October 12th Daily Market Comments

Be careful, the expected bounce today is providing a lot of positive trading in stocks but many stocks are not moving much from where they opened or are trading below where they opened albeit they are still trading positive. Short positions that have been showing bullish signals and are confirming today should be covered, but expect a couple days of choppiness in the markets before any major trend, either bullish or bearish will continue from here. Any trades placed over the next couple trading days should be done so with the idea that if things turn the opposite direction, go back to cash quickly.

 

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October 11th Daily Market Comments

Huge price moves obviously produce big gains. Reactions to those big price moves also provide opportunities to make some big gains. Had the markets opened dramatically lower Today, gapping down, the 10 minute candlestick charts would’ve been instrumental for recognizing when the buying started come back in. Had the markets opened positive, and showed immediately strong strength, that would of provided the visual information revealing the oversold conditions of yesterday were now being brought back up to levels where the market would have been trading at not the panic selling occurred yesterday.

 

 

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October 10th Daily Market Comments

Where is the market going to go? As a candlestick investor, you do not have to know the answer. You merely have to identify which direction it is currently going and be able to analyze the prospects of reversal areas/support levels. Then it is relatively easy to assess what is happening at those support levels based upon the type of candlestick formation that occurs at those levels. As illustrated, yesterday’s trading formed a Doji in the major indexes. Doji rule! The trend was going to move in the direction of how they opened today. The NASDAQ is currently trading below the low of July. The Dow is likely going to head for the 50 day moving average. The S&P 500 gapped down today showing the 50 day moving average was not acting as support. Implying more downside. Obviously these are good times for the short positions.

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October 9th Daily Market Comments

Yesterday, the low of the long legged Doji that developed in the NASDAQ supported at approximately the same level that the markets hit their lows in late July. Today’s positive trading in the NASDAQ is creating the potential of a bullish left/right combo. However, it needs to trade near the high end of today’s trading range to provide better confirmation the Bulls are taking control. Two things that create suspicion. The NASDAQ has bounced up and appear to have failed at the 3T-line. Also, the stochastics have turned up but not yet having reached the oversold conditions. This analysis should make you prepared for a possible bullish reversal but it still requires bullish confirmation. The Dow is currently trading lower after failing at the T-line Today and the transportation index appears to be in a dumpling top pattern. The Bulls have not yet reversed the downtrend.

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October 8th Daily Market Comments

Keep in mind, in a downtrend it is not unusual to see some buying early in the day followed by selling later in the day. An uptrend, the selling is early in the day, followed by buying later in the day. Today’s early buying should not be viewed as a reversal in the downtrend. What occurs at the end of today’s trading will be much more relevant. Until there is a dramatic reversal signal in the indexes, consider the current downtrend to be in progress.

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