Archives for January 2018

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January 31st Daily Market Comments

The regret Today is merely the fact that some positions were closed out but now trading positive today. There are two important facts to remember. First, the stops should have been placed at price levels that a bullish price trend should not be moving back down through. For the circumstances, that was the correct thing to do. Secondly, with those funds freed up in the account, an investor has a much better analytical strategy available.

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Trending Stocks: DPS, MXIM

Dr Pepper (DPS)

Chart for DPS

Over the next 13 weeks, Dr Pepper has on average historically risen by 8.8% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.

Dr Pepper has risen higher by an average 8.8% in 8 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 88%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Dr Pepper, based on historical prices, is 10 weeks. Should Dr Pepper stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 48% could result.

Maxim (MXIM)

Chart for MXIM

Over the next 13 weeks, Maxim has on average historically risen by 4.5% based on the past 29 years of stock performance.

Maxim has risen higher by an average 4.5% in 17 of those 29 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 58%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Maxim, based on historical prices, is 4 weeks. Should Maxim stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 36% could result.

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January 30th Daily Market Comments

Why the selloff Today? You never know when or what is going to change investor sentiment. That is why it is always prudent to have safety stop’s at levels that tell you prices should not be moving back down through. If you’re trying to figure out what to do with lower trading positions, take one step back and ask, “what does this chart tell me?” If it is not a good bullish chart, close it out. First, that puts money back into your account as cash so that you have a much better perspective as to what to be doing next. This is why we recommend Trend Analysis.

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January 29th Daily Market Comments

Today’s lower trading does not indicate Any major change of investor sentiment, the trend is still above the 3 T-line, let alone the T-line. Until there is a confirmed sell signal, the selling days add strength to the uptrend. As long as profit-taking continues as the trend moves higher, exuberance is not participating. Continue to stay long utilizing the simple candlestick trend indicators. The T-line remains a valuable trend tool when a trend has both bullish and bearish days. The nature of the market remains the same, the strong sectors remain strong, the weak sectors remain weak. This is much more obvious when utilizing the candlesti

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January 26th Daily Market Comments

The weakness illustrated in the NASDAQ and S&P 500 over the past couple of trading days still demonstrated an uptrending factor, they could not close below the 3T-line let alone the T-line. Today’s positive trading in those indexes are currently negating any of the indecisiveness over the past few trading days. The Dow continues its steady uptrend. The prognosis remains the same, as long as the indexes continue to trade above the T-line, the uptrend is in progress. Healthy profit-taking along the way solidifies the uptrend by indicating the lack of exuberance in this market.

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January 25th Daily Market Comments

Candlestick charts provide an immense amount of information over and above any other charting technique. The color of the candles become a much more clear indication of what is occurring in investor sentiment. This is illustrated in today’s trading, the indexes opening very positive but now pulling back. The transportation index is selling off hard. A simple trend analysis technique is witnessing a major index or two trading lower while another index or two are trading higher. This equates to rotation in the market indexes versus a major change of investor sentiment. This is why we recommend Trend Analysis.

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Trending Stocks: CLLS, NFLX, TDOC

Cellectis (CLLS)

Chart for CLLS

Over the next 13 weeks, Cellectis has on average historically risen by 16.2% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Cellectis has risen higher by an average 16.2% in 2 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Cellectis, based on historical prices, is 11 weeks. Should Cellectis stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 78% could result.

Netflix (NFLX)

Chart for NFLX

Over the next 13 weeks, Netflix has on average historically risen by 28% based on the past 15 years of stock performance.

Netflix has risen higher by an average 28% in 13 of those 15 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 86%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Netflix, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Netflix stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 283% could result.

Teladoc (TDOC)

Chart for TDOC

Over the next 13 weeks, Teladoc has on average historically fallen by 5.3% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Teladoc has fallen lower by an average 5.3% in 1 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Teladoc, based on historical prices, is 25 weeks. Should Teladoc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 78% could result.

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January 24th Daily Market Comments

The nature of the trend has not changed. The Dow is up strong, the NASDAQ is lower, indicating no change of investor sentiment, merely rotations from sector to sector. And/or profit-taking, which is good during an uptrend. This keeps the exuberance out of the trend, making the trend more solid. Use the T-line as your ultimate trend reversal indication.

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January 23rd Daily Market Comments

These are market conditions where candlestick charts reveal where the strong price moves are occurring. The NASDAQ is up, the transportation index is down, the Dow is flat. There is no change of investor sentiment. The trend continues and it is a healthy trend in the sense that there is no exuberance. This type of trend allows candlestick charts to perform as expected and with a much higher degree of probability that they will be profitable. This makes portfolio/trade management very simple.

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