Archives for October 2016

Trending Stocks: CFX, CTL, FFIV, IPGP, LVLT

Colfax Corp. (CFX)

Chart for CFX

Over the next 13 weeks, Colfax Corp. has on average historically risen by 10.9% based on the past 8 years of stock performance.

Colfax Corp. has risen higherby an average 10.9%in 5 of those 8 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 62%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Colfax Corp., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Colfax Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 139% could result.

CenturyLink (CTL)

Chart for CTL

Over the next 13 weeks, CenturyLink has on average historically risen by 6.2% based on the past 29 years of stock performance.

CenturyLink has risen higherby an average 6.2%in 18 of those 29 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 62%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for CenturyLink, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should CenturyLink stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 58% could result.

F5 (FFIV)

Chart for FFIV

Over the next 13 weeks, F5 has on average historically risen by 14.4% based on the past 17 years of stock performance.

F5 has risen higherby an average 14.4%in 14 of those 17 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 82%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for F5, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should F5 stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 433% could result.

IPG Photonics Corporation (IPGP)

Chart for IPGP

Over the next 13 weeks, IPG Photonics Corporation has on average historically risen by 8.8% based on the past 10 years of stock performance.

IPG Photonics Corporation has risen higherby an average 8.8%in 6 of those 10 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for IPG Photonics Corporation, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should IPG Photonics Corporation stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 91% could result.

Level 3 Communications Inc. (LVLT)

Chart for LVLT

Over the next 13 weeks, Level 3 Communications Inc. has on average historically risen by 13.1% based on the past 18 years of stock performance.

Level 3 Communications Inc. has risen higherby an average 13.1%in 12 of those 18 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Level 3 Communications Inc., based on historical prices, is 4 weeks. Should Level 3 Communications Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 77% could result.

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October 28th Daily Market Comments

The market trend remains wildly unexciting. The nature of this boring market still makes each individual stock chart the primary analytical factor. The biotech’s are still in a downtrend. Crude oil appears to have stabilized in the $50 area, not moving too much one way or the other from that level. Remaining in any positions should have compelling charts. Having a higher percentage in cash is not a bad strategy at this point.

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October 27th Daily Market Comments

There is really no consensus between the Bulls and the Bears on a day-to-day basis. This is much more clearly illustrated from the graphics of candlestick charts, bullish candle one day, bearish candle the next day. There are very few bullish positions that are remaining in a consistent uptrend. The more profitable trades have been to the short side recently,SRPT, NLNK,SPWR. But the number of confirmed signals or patterns has diminished dramatically in this sideways movie market. There are times when both be in long and short is prudent. There are times when sitting in cash is prudent. This whipsaw action of the sideways market is making cash the logical strategy.

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Trending Stocks: AXE, CPLA, CR, CWEI, EDU

Anixter International Inc. (AXE)

Chart for AXE

Over the next 13 weeks, Anixter International Inc. has on average historically risen by 5.9% based on the past 32 years of stock performance.

Anixter International Inc. has risen higherby an average 5.9%in 21 of those 32 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 65%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Anixter International Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Anixter International Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 43% could result.

Capella Education Co. (CPLA)

Chart for CPLA

Over the next 13 weeks, Capella Education Co. has on average historically risen by 7.5% based on the past 10 years of stock performance.

Capella Education Co. has risen higherby an average 7.5%in 6 of those 10 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Capella Education Co., based on historical prices, is 9 weeks. Should Capella Education Co. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 52% could result.

Crane Co. (CR)

Chart for CR

Over the next 13 weeks, Crane Co. has on average historically risen by 4.7% based on the past 32 years of stock performance.

Crane Co. has risen higherby an average 4.7%in 19 of those 32 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 59%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Crane Co., based on historical prices, is 21 weeks. Should Crane Co. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 36% could result.

Clayton Williams Energy Inc. (CWEI)

Chart for CWEI

Over the next 13 weeks, Clayton Williams Energy Inc. has on average historically risen by 6.7% based on the past 23 years of stock performance.

Clayton Williams Energy Inc. has risen higherby an average 6.7%in 13 of those 23 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 56%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Clayton Williams Energy Inc., based on historical prices, is 36 weeks. Should Clayton Williams Energy Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 42% could result.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (EDU)

Chart for EDU

Over the next 13 weeks, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. has on average historically risen by 7% based on the past 10 years of stock performance.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. has risen higherby an average 7%in 8 of those 10 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 80%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 204% could result.

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October 25th, 2016

The nature of the market has not changed, the indexes have a hard time moving consistently in one direction or another from day to day. Today’s indecisive trading continues to demonstrate the sideways mode of this market. Numerous stock charts also reveal noncommittal trends, merely moving sideways. Although the opportunities are fewer, candlestick charts still show which stocks remain the most bullish and which remain the most bearish.

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October 24th Daily Market Comments

Today’s positive trading, although relatively strong in the Dow and S&P 500, are not yet showing any strong decisive candles/signals. However, the NASDAQ gapped up today confirming the buy signals that were developing at the T-line/50 day moving average last week. Today’s gap up is providing the prospects of a scoop pattern. This gives a little bit more credibility to the positive trading in the other indexes. But note that the indexes are still trading in the sideways channel. The indecisive nature of the market continues to make trading difficult but there are patterns that are producing good profits.

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Trending Stocks: AAMC, ALDR, AXP, EXPO, HNI, ICLR, RARE

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT (AAMC)

Chart for AAMC

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has on average historically fallen by 4.7% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has fallen lowerby an average 4.7%in 2 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT, based on historical prices, is 15 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 30% could result.

ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICAL (ALDR)

Chart for ALDR

Over the next 13 weeks, ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICAL has on average historically risen by 73.8% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICAL has risen higherby an average 73.8%in 2 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICAL, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICAL stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 774% could result.

American Express (AXP)

Chart for AXP

Over the next 13 weeks, American Express has on average historically risen by 4.4% based on the past 32 years of stock performance.

American Express has risen higherby an average 4.4%in 20 of those 32 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 62%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for American Express, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should American Express stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 39% could result.

Exponent Inc. (EXPO)

Chart for EXPO

Over the next 13 weeks, Exponent Inc. has on average historically risen by 7% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

Exponent Inc. has risen higherby an average 7%in 18 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 69%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Exponent Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Exponent Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 160% could result.

HNI Corp. (HNI)

Chart for HNI

Over the next 13 weeks, HNI Corp. has on average historically risen by 4% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

HNI Corp. has risen higherby an average 4%in 16 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 61%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for HNI Corp., based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should HNI Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 39% could result.

ICON plc (ICLR)

Chart for ICLR

Over the next 13 weeks, ICON plc has on average historically risen by 5.8% based on the past 18 years of stock performance.

ICON plc has risen higherby an average 5.8%in 13 of those 18 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 72%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ICON plc, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should ICON plc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 43% could result.

ULTRAGENYX PHARMA (RARE)

Chart for RARE

Over the next 13 weeks, ULTRAGENYX PHARMA has on average historically fallen by 4.6% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

ULTRAGENYX PHARMA has fallen lowerby an average 4.6%in 2 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ULTRAGENYX PHARMA, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should ULTRAGENYX PHARMA stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 196% could result.

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October 20th Daily Market Comments

What could have been the beginning of some bullish investor sentiment, after yesterday’s gap up above the T-line forming a bullish flutter kicker signal, today’s trading brings the market trading back to its previous nature.

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Trending Stocks: AAMC, CE, NFLX, SCL, UNH

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT (AAMC)

Chart for AAMC

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has on average historically fallen by 4.7% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has fallen lowerby an average 4.7%in 2 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT, based on historical prices, is 15 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 30% could result.

Celanese Corp. Series A (CE)

Chart for CE

Over the next 13 weeks, Celanese Corp. Series A has on average historically risen by 11% based on the past 11 years of stock performance.

Celanese Corp. Series A has risen higherby an average 11%in 9 of those 11 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 81%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Celanese Corp. Series A, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Celanese Corp. Series A stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 125% could result.

Netflix (NFLX)

Chart for NFLX

Over the next 13 weeks, Netflix has on average historically risen by 8.7% based on the past 14 years of stock performance.

Netflix has risen higherby an average 8.7%in 11 of those 14 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 78%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Netflix, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Netflix stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 197% could result.

Stepan Company (SCL)

Chart for SCL

Over the next 13 weeks, Stepan Company has on average historically risen by 4% based on the past 24 years of stock performance.

Stepan Company has risen higherby an average 4%in 15 of those 24 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 62%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Stepan Company, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Stepan Company stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 87% could result.

United Health (UNH)

Chart for UNH

Over the next 13 weeks, United Health has on average historically risen by 12.3% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

United Health has risen higherby an average 12.3%in 21 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 80%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for United Health, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should United Health stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 160% could result.

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October 18th Daily Market Comments

Watch for the Netflix knee-jerk reaction in the markets. Note how many stocks have opened positive but immediately started trading lower. Also keep in mind that the nature of this market has been very indecisive. This should lead to some suspicion that there still is not any great bullish/bearish conviction in the markets. It will be important to see how the indexes close today, especially in reference to the T-line.

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