Archives for October 2017

October 30th Daily Market Comments

The market trend analysis remains the same. Specific stocks and sectors continue to act well based upon the strength of individual stock chart candlestick patterns. The NASDAQ continues the uptrend, the S&P 500 and the Dow are still in a sideways mode and the transportation index is drifting lower. This illustrates merely the shifting of funds from sector to sector, oil stocks remain strong while retail stocks are trading lower. This allows for having both long and short positions in the portfolio working profitably.

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Trending Stocks: AET, BWLD, FCN, GPI, OSTK, RUSHA, TREE

Aetna (AET)

Chart for AET

Over the next 13 weeks, Aetna has on average historically risen by 6.7% based on the past 40 years of stock performance.

Aetna has risen higher by an average 6.7% in 29 of those 40 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 72%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Aetna, based on historical prices, is 8 weeks. Should Aetna stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 33% could result.

Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. (BWLD)

Chart for BWLD

Over the next 13 weeks, Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. has on average historically risen by 5.5% based on the past 13 years of stock performance.

Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. has risen higher by an average 5.5% in 7 of those 13 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 53%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Buffalo Wild Wings Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 57% could result.

FTI Consulting, Inc. (FCN)

Chart for FCN

Over the next 13 weeks, FTI Consulting, Inc. has on average historically risen by 8.3% based on the past 21 years of stock performance.

FTI Consulting, Inc. has risen higher by an average 8.3% in 16 of those 21 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 76%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for FTI Consulting, Inc., based on historical prices, is 6 weeks. Should FTI Consulting, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 53% could result.

Group 1 Automotive Inc. (GPI)

Chart for GPI

Over the next 13 weeks, Group 1 Automotive Inc. has on average historically risen by 7.4% based on the past 19 years of stock performance.

Group 1 Automotive Inc. has risen higher by an average 7.4% in 12 of those 19 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 63%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Group 1 Automotive Inc., based on historical prices, is 30 weeks. Should Group 1 Automotive Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 42% could result.

Overstock.com Inc. (OSTK)

Chart for OSTK

Over the next 13 weeks, Overstock.com Inc. has on average historically risen by 13.2% based on the past 18 years of stock performance.

Overstock.com Inc. has risen higher by an average 13.2% in 8 of those 18 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 44%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Overstock.com Inc., based on historical prices, is 20 weeks. Should Overstock.com Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 2374% could result.

Rush Enterprises, (RUSHA)

Chart for RUSHA

Over the next 13 weeks, Rush Enterprises, has on average historically risen by 10.3% based on the past 15 years of stock performance.

Rush Enterprises, has risen higher by an average 10.3% in 9 of those 15 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Rush Enterprises,, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Rush Enterprises, stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 125% could result.

Tree.Com, Inc. (TREE)

Chart for TREE

Over the next 13 weeks, Tree.Com, Inc. has on average historically risen by 19.5% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.

Tree.Com, Inc. has risen higher by an average 19.5% in 8 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 88%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Tree.Com, Inc., based on historical prices, is 4 weeks. Should Tree.Com, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 130% could result.

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October 30th Daily Market Comments

The market indexes still do not show any change of investor sentiment. Although the Dow and S&P 500 are trading lower Today, they are trading indecisively, Doji days so far. The NASDAQ is trading positive, further confirming the best friend signal of last week. The biggies such as AMZN, NVDA , NFLX continue to trade higher, indicating bullish sentiment has not yet left the markets. Simple trend analysis, the uptrend remains in progress as long as they continue to trade above the T-line. The oil sector is acting strong, with good bullish signals.

 

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October 27th Daily Market Comments

The NASDAQ up hundred points but the Dow is down slightly, the S&P 500 is up, the transportation index is flat. What should be the overall prognosis of the market trend? There is not any major change of investor sentiment. Merely a shifting of funds from sector to sector. Stay predominantly long but obviously the volatility that is occurring requires being very diligent as far as watching for sell signals in individual stock positions. This is why Trend Analysis is so important.

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Trending Stocks: CLB, GLW, JBT, OSTK, PII

Core Laboratories N.V. (CLB)

Chart for CLB

Over the next 13 weeks, Core Laboratories N.V. has on average historically risen by 7.7% based on the past 22 years of stock performance.

Core Laboratories N.V. has risen higher by an average 7.7% in 15 of those 22 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 68%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Core Laboratories N.V., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Core Laboratories N.V. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 86% could result.

Corning (GLW)

Chart for GLW

Over the next 13 weeks, Corning has on average historically risen by 8.1% based on the past 45 years of stock performance.

Corning has risen higher by an average 8.1% in 26 of those 45 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 57%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Corning, based on historical prices, is 7 weeks. Should Corning stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 54% could result.

John Bean Technologies Corporation (JBT)

Chart for JBT

Over the next 13 weeks, John Bean Technologies Corporation has on average historically risen by 7.8% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.

John Bean Technologies Corporation has risen higher by an average 7.8% in 7 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 77%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for John Bean Technologies Corporation, based on historical prices, is 8 weeks. Should John Bean Technologies Corporation stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 49% could result.

Overstock.com Inc. (OSTK)

Chart for OSTK

Over the next 13 weeks, Overstock.com Inc. has on average historically risen by 13.2% based on the past 18 years of stock performance.

Overstock.com Inc. has risen higher by an average 13.2% in 8 of those 18 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 44%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Overstock.com Inc., based on historical prices, is 20 weeks. Should Overstock.com Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 2374% could result.

Polaris Industries, Inc. (PII)

Chart for PII

Over the next 13 weeks, Polaris Industries, Inc. has on average historically risen by 5.1% based on the past 30 years of stock performance.

Polaris Industries, Inc. has risen higher by an average 5.1% in 20 of those 30 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Polaris Industries, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Polaris Industries, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 115% could result.

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October 26th Daily Market Comments

The strength in the Dow today is pulling the transportation index backup. The prospects of a tax cut continues to add strength, or at least is not allowing investor sentiment to turn bearish, to the overall market trend. The NASDAQ and S&P 500, although not trading with the same strength as the Dow, are currently illustrating small gains. What potentially looked like bearish sentiment taking control of the market trend yesterday is being offset by new bullish influence today. The best way to keep from being whipsawed is to utilize the T-line as the final reversal confirmation.

 

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October 25th Daily Market Comments

Yesterday, although the Dow traded up stronger, the other indexes did not show any great strength. This was a potential red flag that the Bulls were running out of steam. The NASDAQ and the S&P 500 are currently trading below the T-line. The transportation index is selling off with the greatest movement, trading well below the T-line. Stochastics are heading down after sell signals in the indexes. Other than the Dow, the NASDAQ, the S&P 500, and the transportation index are indicating the sellers are starting to take control. Be prepared to take profits on bullish charts that are start to show sell signals and heading below the T-line. Expect some downtrend for the next few days until there is another Bullish reversal signal.

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October 24th, Daily Market Comments

The Dow is showing excessive strength, a trend Kicker signal Today. But the NASDAQ and S&P 500, although trading positive are not showing any great strength from where they opened. Yesterday’s big bearish engulfing signal in the NASDAQ was the first major sign of sellers coming into the market. The uptrend is still in progress but there are definite signs of consolidation/weakness. Continue to hold long positions that are not showing sell signals and/or trading back below the T-line. The exuberance being exhibited in the Dow needs to be carefully watched. Be prepared to take profits on any indications of candlestick sell signals being confirmed.

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Trending Stocks: ADBE, EVHC, MD, NNI, POOL, SILC

Adobe (ADBE)

Chart for ADBE

Over the next 13 weeks, Adobe has on average historically risen by 10% based on the past 31 years of stock performance.

Adobe has risen higher by an average 10% in 22 of those 31 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 70%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Adobe, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Adobe stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 104% could result.

Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc (EVHC)

Chart for EVHC

Over the next 13 weeks, Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc has on average historically risen by 5.6% based on the past 19 years of stock performance.

Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc has risen higher by an average 5.6% in 13 of those 19 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 68%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc, based on historical prices, is 12 weeks. Should Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 34% could result.

Mednax Inc. (MD)

Chart for MD

Over the next 13 weeks, Mednax Inc. has on average historically risen by 9.1% based on the past 19 years of stock performance.

Mednax Inc. has risen higher by an average 9.1% in 15 of those 19 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 78%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Mednax Inc., based on historical prices, is 9 weeks. Should Mednax Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 44% could result.

Nelnet Inc. (NNI)

Chart for NNI

Over the next 13 weeks, Nelnet Inc. has on average historically risen by 10.4% based on the past 13 years of stock performance.

Nelnet Inc. has risen higher by an average 10.4% in 11 of those 13 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 84%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Nelnet Inc., based on historical prices, is 9 weeks. Should Nelnet Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 50% could result.

Pool Corp. (POOL)

Chart for POOL

Over the next 13 weeks, Pool Corp. has on average historically risen by 6.7% based on the past 21 years of stock performance.

Pool Corp. has risen higher by an average 6.7% in 17 of those 21 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 80%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Pool Corp., based on historical prices, is 5 weeks. Should Pool Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 48% could result.

Silicom Ltd (SILC)

Chart for SILC

Over the next 13 weeks, Silicom Ltd has on average historically risen by 19.5% based on the past 23 years of stock performance.

Silicom Ltd has risen higher by an average 19.5% in 14 of those 23 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Silicom Ltd, based on historical prices, is 19 weeks. Should Silicom Ltd stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 214% could result.

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