The markets traded lower Today on more China virus scare rhetoric. Is this the end of the uptrend? Based upon candlestick analysis, the church reveal a much different perspective as far as Today’s selling. After the Dow was down approximate 375 points it finished down 122 points is this bearish? The candlestick formation was somewhat of a Doji type day. The Dow did close below the T-line but forming an indecisive trading day. Add the analysis of the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, there indecisive trading day continue to show a close above the T-line. This overall analysis indicates there has not been any major change of investor sentiment. The nature of the current uptrend can be characterized much better based upon the visual aspects of candlestick signals. The uptrend remains in progress as long as the indexes continue to trade above the T-line. The nature of the uptrend is revealing a very choppy movement. That is what makes the T-line a very informative indicator. The probabilities indicate the uptrend is still in progress when the indexes cannot close below the T-line. This allows the candlestick investor to have a much more precise analysis of the overall trend and does not allow themselves to be whipsawed in and out of positions.
Patterns provide relevant trend analysis confirmation. The T-line is also very applicable to analyzing what is occurring in a candlestick price pattern. Note that numerous fry pan bottom patterns have remained in an uptrend in spite of what the overall market movement is portraying. This factor can be easily explained. A fry pan bottom is a buildup of investor sentiment over a period of time. It will not be readily influenced by other factors such as the oscillation movements of the overall markets. Knowing this, I candlestick investor can be much more comfortable maintaining fry pan bottom positions no matter what direction the market is going. As long as the uptrend remains above the T-line, even on scary pullback days, the T-line shows the fry pan bottom trajectory is still in progress. The common sense analysis that can be incorporated into candlestick signals and patterns allow an investor to much more clearly understand what is going on in investor sentiment versus being emotionally whipsawed when prices oscillate but do not breach the probabilities of candlestick trend indicators. This is what dramatically reduces emotional decision-making when it comes to investing.
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Good Investing,
The Candlestick Forum Team
