Moving Averages with Candlestick Analysis

Combining Moving Averages and Candlestick Analysis is “Profit-Making Magic.”

I recently added quite a few “new and improved” innovations to the so-called “classic” Japanese Candlestick methodology. Through more than three decades of intense study and analysis of candlestick patterns, I discovered a set of entirely new candlestick trading techniques which make the basic methodology even more powerful.

Case in point? Check out his new free video training entitled “The Profit-Making Magic of Candlestick Patterns at Major Moving Averages.”

When certain candlestick patterns form at specific major moving averages, it does almost seem that magic happens… in the form of unusually large short-term gains as the trading trend drastically reverses.

Click here for instant access to my new training video!

In my new training video I explain:

  • Why Candlestick signals combined with moving averages result in a higher number of money-making trades
  • The 3 major moving averages that most, if not all, money managers use to make decisions about their portfolios
  • Why the moving averages are very important trend indicators and how they can be used to generate more profits
  • How using Candlestick signals along with the major moving averages can identify the ultimate buying and selling points

In this free training video, I reveal strategies and techniques heretofore known to just a handful of traders in the world. You’ll begin to crave these types of situations, because you’ll know that they often lead to exciting, portfolio-enhancing short-term profits.

Using Candlestick patterns, along with the moving averages in a much different capacity, creates a trading program that produces highly profitable trades. The trades are also provided with a much greater frequency. Fortunately, the use of the moving averages is very simple. Once applied to Candlestick charts, it makes the analysis of where a trend may support or resist a very simple visual process.

Moving Averages as Support
When witnessing a downtrend, how do we tell when a bottom is getting near? It could be when panic selling is witnessed coming into a price trend as the stochastics are getting toward the oversold area. That is a helpful alert but it does not give us a roadmap to where panic selling might end. If you are able to utilize the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average as important support areas then those levels can at least be used as a target.

Also, when you are able to evaluate the potential target that a trend may want to go to now, it makes the analysis of what is going on in the Candlestick formations that much easier to interpret. For example, if a sustained downtrend is now showing larger candles, the evidence that the panic bottom may be nearing and the price is approaching one of the major moving averages provides extra preparation for seeing what might occur at that moving average level. Panic selling, along with stochastics approaching the oversold area or being in the oversold area, and a major moving average approaching a level where a Candlestick buy signal has a probability of occurring, becomes a trade set up that an investor wants to start preparing for.

Do all charts work well with moving averages? Definitely not! However a large majority appear to. The purpose of Candlestick analysis is to provide an advantage for the investor to see what is happening at important technical levels. The Candlestick signals provide that clarity. If a chart is not providing patterns that make it easy to see what a price movement is going to do, then move on to another chart. There are many from which to choose, especially with the availability of easy-to-use computer scanning programs.

In putting all of the probabilities in favor of the investor, using every technical method can be enhanced when Candlestick signals are applied. How do you discover whether the major moving averages are a positive correlation with anticipating price moves? Easy! Investigate what has happened at those moving averages previously in the price trend. This can be done very quickly. All it takes is a quick visual analysis of what has happened in the past.

Click here for instant access to Steve’s new training video!

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Trading Breakout Patterns

Find Great Stock Market Trades with Trading Breakout Patterns

Looking back at older blog posts in order to dislodge my writer’s block I came across a very good blog article where I discuss trading breakout patterns. While this information is dated it is worth discussing again as it depicts a very good example of how you can find great stock market trades with trading breakout patterns. Using the candlestick patterns to interpret the results of a breakout situation offers a massive advantage to the Candlestick investor.

As you see also see at the end of this blog post, I offer a Free Trading Breakout Patterns Course. Once you complete this 100% complimentary trading session, you’ll walk away with unique new abilities like:

  • Knowing the difference between the safe time to get into a trade and when it’s best to just step aside (so many traders get this WRONG!)
  • Figuring out how to handle a fast moving trade… this is where traders make or break their accounts.
  • Realizing when a breakout is about to occur AND knowing what to do before you miss the boat or things get out of hand
  • Plus much, much, more.

Before you sign up however, please read the blog post below and see how trading breakout patterns work. You can sign up to receive this course now or later!

One main advantage of Candlestick patterns is that they can detect dramatic changes in investor sentiment. One of the main profit potentials for making money on big stock market trades is being able to analyze the investor sentiment upon a stock “breakout” situation.

A breakout is the dramatic movement of a stock market trade moving out of its usual trading area. It also has the component of a significant percentage increase in its standard daily trading range. This is usually complemented by a massive increase in volume. A breakout is typically the result of an unforeseen event or surprise result of a company’s operations. This can be affected by both internal as well as external elements. A key example was Invision Technologies, the company that manufactures the luggage scanning machines at airports. 9/11 brought this company to the forefront. The major move, a tremendously large white candle in that stock price, far above its trading range for the previous six months, quickly revealed a firm change of investor sentiment towards this company. Breakouts, revealed using Candlestick patterns, immediately identify the stock market trades with huge percentage gains potential.

Other trading breakout patterns are frequently caused by new fundamental potentials within a company’s product potential. Whatever causes the new investor sentiment in a stock, the resulting candle or candles offer the information needed that would point to the upside strength of a new move in a stock price. Dynamic Materials Corp., BOOM, is a great illustration of a breakout. Note in the November chart, after trading for four years between $3 and $4 dollars a share, a news item produced a new investor view on this company. The fact that the white candle, that broke this stock out, closed near the high end of the trading range was an indication that upon this stock doubling in price in one day, investors still felt assured to stay in the stock and not take profits yet.

BOOM

tradin breakout patterns image 1

Very seldom is a breakout on strong volume and a huge percentage price move going to instantaneously vanish and move back down to the previous customary trading area. However, not all breakouts immediately go up. An exceedingly large percentage, however, do eventually move to much higher ground after the initial breakout. For those investors who follow the stock picks over the past few years, AVII is one of our long-term holds. That “hold” recommendation was based on the potential future potential of this company’s products. But when will that potential become evident?

Seven trading days ago, an announcement about receiving patents formed a breakout in AVII. A stock that trades approximately 100,000 to 300,000 shares per day moved up over 100% on over 40 million shares traded. This was an intense change of ownership in the stock. The Bearish Harami the following day revealed that there would be some pullback action. Friday’s chart, as can be seen below, formed a Bullish Engulfing signal right at the base of the bullish candle that formed the breakout. The last six days of trading have seen an average of 5 million shares traded each day. The Bullish Engulfing signal reveals that the profit-taking selling may have stopped. (Remember this is an old chart being used for demonstrative purposes only!)

AVII

tradin breakout patterns image 2

The breakout definitely tells us something. There is now a different dynamic in this stock. As with most breakouts, the stock trend has an enormously high probability of moving higher, the first target testing the breakout candle high at approximately $4.20. However, over the long-term, meaning six weeks and greater, the upside potential could be higher. This is not an exact stock recommendation but it provides some educational background on breakout situations. AVII fits into that category.

Sign up to receive the complimentary one hour session on Trading Breakout Patterns and you will see that this is 100% real, actionable training.

You’re going to get an hour plus of video training that normally carries a $197 per seat fee for $0 – that’s 100% FREE!

Just our way of saying thanks for reading and have a wonderful holiday season!

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Eliminating Emotions

The psychology of investing not only affects individual investors but also affects the market as a whole. Many investors often underestimate or are unaware of the affects that our emotions have on our return on investment. Many well educated and competent traders lose money due to trading anxiety and trading emotions. In today’s article we will discuss various emotions felt everyday by online stock investors and how each emotion affects trading decisions and trading performance.

Eliminating Emotions:

Greed and Fear
Greed causes traders to buy at high prices or buy a large amount of the same share, therefore increasing risk. Fear causes investors to exit the markets too early causing a loss of otherwise attained profits. Traders suffering from fear are afraid that the price will decrease further so they get out before the timing is correct, instead of letting the trade play out.

Overconfidence
Traders who are overconfident tend to trade more rapidly and tend to over trade. These traders lose money in commissions, taxes in addition to simply losing out on trades themselves due to the illusion of control. Greater participation in trading stock makes some traders feel more in control even though they are not. These traders also tend to invest in smaller and riskier companies and lack portfolio diversification.

Herding 
The psychology of investing tells us that many investors tend to follow the crowd. They hear of hot stocks and they jump on the bandwagon only to lose money. What they fail to realize is that those stocks were hot until you and everyone else in “the herd” heard about them. Pass on these hot stock market picks. Even if they were money makers at some point, that time has passed. Find your own stocks to invest in based on your own proven research and analysis.

Confirmation Bias
Too often investors believe what they want to believe. We pay attention only to the information that supports what we believe, and ignore information that does not support what we “think we know.” Confirmation bias directly results in poor investment decisions and a loss of profits. An example of confirmation bias is when we become attached to a certain stock. Perhaps it performed very well in the past so we ignore all signs that it is currently not performing as well as it did and we invest anyway.

There are many factors to consider when studying the psychology of investing and how it affects stock traders every day. Successful investors understand investment psychology and all it entails, they have determined their strengths and their weaknesses, and they proactively practice and develop the skills necessary to controlling their trading emotions so that they are successful in the stock market.

Learn more about Eliminating Emotions. The most profitable skill that can’t be taught!

 

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Stock Technical Analysis Glossary Terms S-Z

Selling climax
After a move downwards, prices push sharply lower on heavy volume. If prices move higher from these levels, a selling climax has occurred.

Selloff
The downward movement of prices.

Shadows
The extreme price movement outside the body of a candle (see candlestick patterns) creates the shadows. The lower shadow extends from the bottom of the body to the low price of the day. The upper shadow extends from the top of the body to the high price of the day.

Shaven bottom
A candlestick with no lower shadow.

Shaven head
A candlestick with no upper shadow.

Simple moving averages
The smoothing of price data where prices are added together, and then averaged. The term moving is included due to the fact that as each new day’s information is added to the numbers, the oldest data is dropped.

Spring
When prices break below a congestion area, and then spring right back above the broken support area, it has produced a bullish signals.

Star
A small body that gaps away from the previous long body. A star indicates the reduction of force illustrated by the previous long candle. A star following a long black body is called a raindrop.

Stochastics
An oscillator that measures the relative position of closing prices compared to the trading range over a specified period of time. %K indicates the fast stochastic, %D indicates the slow stochastic.

Support level
An obvious level where buyers are shown to step in and hold prices above that level.

Tick volume
The number of trades occurring during a specific time interval.

Time filter
A price level that prices have to stay above or below for a specific period of time to confirm that a technical level has been broken.

Trend
A price’s prevalent directional movement.

Trend-line
A line that can be drawn along a series of highs or lows. This requires at least two points for a line to be drawn. The more points that are associated with the line, the more strength the trend-line carries. More details – click here

Trend reversals (or reversal indicators)
Price action that indicates the high probability of a trend reversing its direction.

Tweezer tops or bottoms
Highs or lows of a trend that are duplicated in back to back trading days or within the next few sessions. The name is derived from the price movement to those levels forming a tweezer-like visual. It is a minor reversal signal, however, its significance becomes greater if the highs or lows are touched with long shadows or if the identical bottoms are part of another reversal signal.

Upgap
A gap in prices to the upside.

Upthrust
The price movement that carries prices through and above observed resistance areas. If these new price levels do not hold and prices pull back under the breached resistance level, it is called an upthrust. It now becomes a bearish signal.

Uptrend
Prices that are trading higher.

V bottom or top
A sharp reversal forming a V pattern at the bottom of a trend or an inverted V at the top of a trend.

Volume
The total number of shares or contracts trading in a given day on that trading entity.

Weighted moving average
A moving average where the most recent data is given greater value than the oldest data.

Window
The same as a Western gap. Windows can indicate the beginning of a strong trend as well as the end of a trend, exhaustion window. As Western technicians say that prices will always fill the gap, the Japanese expect to close the window.

Yin and Yang
The Chinese name for the black (Yin) and the white (Yang). Good and bad, positive and negative.

Be sure to begin with Western and Japanese technical stock terms or continue on to the options trading terms.

 

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Stock Market Trading Glossary Terms M-R

Momentum
Related to the velocity of a price move. The most recent close is compared to a specific number of closes in a specific time frame.

Morning attack
A Japanese definition for a large buy or sell order on the opening that is designed to significantly move the market.

Moving Average Convergence-Divergence oscillator (MACD)
A combination of three exponentially smoothed moving averages.

Neckline
The level that indicates the lows of the head in the head and shoulders formation or the high points in an inverse head and shoulders formation.

Night attack
A large order placed at the close to move the market.

Offset
The term for closing trades. Longs are said to liquidate. Shorts are said to cover.

On-Balance Volume (OBV)
A cumulative volume figure. If prices close higher than the prior trading session, the volume for the higher day is added to the OBV. Conversely, volume is subtracted from the OBV on days when prices close lower than the previous day.

Open interest
Pertains to future contracts. It is the number of contracts that are still outstanding. It will be equal to the total number of long and short positions, not the combination of the two.

Oscillator
An indicator based upon a momentum formula that moves above or below a zero line or on a chart grid between 0 and 100 percent. They depict overbought and oversold conditions and positive or negative divergences; r measures the velocity in a price movement.

Overbought
A term associated with specific oscillators to denote when a price has moved too far, too fast in an upward direction.

Oversold
The same as the overbought definition except for it being in the downward direction.

Paper trading
A popular method using real-life trade circumstances and trading with imaginary trading funds.

Petrifying pattern
Another name for the Harami cross.

Protective stop
An order placed to limit losses on an existing position. If prices move to that level, a trade is initiated to liquidate the position avoiding further loss potential.

Raindrop
Another name for the star formation.

Rally
Usually a strong upward price movement.

Reaction
A price movement that moves opposite the current trend.

Real body (or body)
The boxed area from the open to the close is what forms the body of the candle (see candlestick patterns). When the close is lower than the open, a black body is produced. A close above the open causes a white body to be formed.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)
An oscillator developed by Welles Wilder. It compares the ratio of positive closes to negative closes over a specific time period.

Resistance level
A trading level where obvious selling keeps the prices from advancing any further.

Retracement
The price movement in the opposite direction of the recent trend.

Reversal session
After a move experiences a new high (or low), the next close is below (or above) the previous day’s close.

Rickshaw Man
A long-legged Doji where the body, although small, is in the center of the formation.

Stay tuned for more stock technical analysis market trading glossary terms S-Z to assist with your stock analysis.

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Stock Trading Terms Glossary E-L:

Elliot wave
Ralph Nelson Elliot developed a system for forecasting price movements based upon oscillations in investor sentiment. The basis of the theory revolves around five waves in a general direction (five-wave upmove) followed by three corrective waves in the opposite direction (three-wave downmove).

Exponential moving average
A moving average calculated by exponentially weighted input.

Fibonacci numbers
The series of numbers that are derived by adding the two previous numbers to obtain the next number. That number added to the previous number results in the next number. The series of numbers produces ratios used extensively by Elliot wave advocates, 38 percent, 50 percent, and 62 percent.

Filling the Gap
A gap becomes filled when prices move back into the black area of trading. Candlestick Patterns and candlestick terminology describes this as “closing the window”.

Gap
A price void where the trading range between one time period does not overlap with a price trading of the next time period.

Golden cross
A bullish signal created by the short-term moving averages crossing above the long-term moving averages.

High-wave
A group of candlesticks with long upper and/or lower shadows. This grouping of formations foretells a market turn.

Implied volatility
A measure for the market to forecast future volatility.

Inside session
This is a trading session where the high and the low of a trading period remains within the high and the low of the previous trading session.

Intra-day
Trading periods that begin and end within a one-day time frame.

Islands
A formation created at the end of a trend where prices gap away from the current trend, trade for two or more days at those levels, and then gap back in the opposite direction. This leaves an island of trading at the end of the trend. Commonly known as island reversals. Strong reversal indicator.

Locals
Floor traders that make their living by trading a particular entity.

Lower shadows
The trading range below the body of a candle.

Stay tuned for next week’s blog with more stock market trading terms.

 

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Western and Japanese Technical Stock Terms: Glossary A-D

GLOSSARY

The following is a list of terms used in association with Japanese Candlestick Analysis. Some terms are purely of Western origin; others are purely of Japanese origin. Many are used for description in both Western and Japanese techniques, becoming intermingled through the years. Read below to further your stock analysis education.

Bar Charts
The conventional graphic depiction of price activity. The trading range is illustrated with a vertical line representing the high to low prices during a time period. Open price is shown by a short horizontal line attached to the left side of a vertical line, the close is a horizontal line to the right side. Price is represented on the vertical scale of the chart. Time is represented on the horizontal scale

Blow-offs
A topping or bottoming action. Occurring at the end of an extended move. Prices move sharply and rapidly in the direction of the current trend on high volume. If the price reverses direction after this movement, a blow-off has occurred.

Breakaway gap
When prices gap away from a technically defined area, such as a congestion area or a trendline.

Breakout
The movement that pushes through a resistance level or a support level.

Confirmation
When a move or an indicator substantiates the anticipated action resulting from another indicator.

Congestion area
Trading activity where the price movement stays within an observable trading range for an extended period of time.

Consolidation
Trading in a range of the congestion area with the implication that the trend is resting and will resume the direction of the current trend.

Continuation patterns
A pattern that has been observed to indicate that the current trend will continue.

Dead cross
When short-term moving averages cross under the longer-term moving averages and a bearish signal is given.

Deliberation pattern
Also known as a stalling pattern, prices are coming to a point of a reversal.

Divergence
The disparity between indicators when a price action has made a move. One indicator confirms that the move was correct, the other shows the opposite. For example, if prices hit high and the relative strength index does not, a divergence has occurred.

Double bottoms
An easily recognized technical pattern illustrated by a W-shaped bottom where prices reverse at approximately the same lows.

Double tops
Price movement that resembles an M where the highs are approximately the same.

Downgap
Prices gap down in the next time period to levels below the total trading range of the previous time period.

Downtrend
Prices trading lower usually represented by lower lows and/or lower highs.

Stay tuned for next week’s Stock Trading Terms Glossary with Terms E-L.

 

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