Archives for December 2016

Trending Stocks: AAMC, NVDA, YELP

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT (AAMC)

Chart for AAMC

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has on average historically risen by 29.8% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has risen higher by an average 29.8% in 3 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT, based on historical prices, is 52 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 508% could result.

Nvidia (NVDA)

Chart for NVDA

Over the next 13 weeks, Nvidia has on average historically risen by 23.5% based on the past 17 years of stock performance.

Nvidia has risen higher by an average 23.5% in 12 of those 17 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 70%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Nvidia, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Nvidia stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 204% could result.

Universal Display Corp. (OLED)

Chart for OLED

Over the next 13 weeks, Universal Display Corp. has on average historically risen by 12.8% based on the past 20 years of stock performance.

Universal Display Corp. has risen higher by an average 12.8% in 11 of those 20 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 55%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Universal Display Corp., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Universal Display Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 217% could result.

Yelp, Inc. (YELP)

Chart for YELP

Over the next 13 weeks, Yelp, Inc. has on average historically risen by 13.7% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Yelp, Inc. has risen higher by an average 13.7% in 3 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Yelp, Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Yelp, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 249% could result.

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December 29th Daily Market Comments

Although the week between Christmas and New Year’s does not usually have any relevant forceful moves, it does provide an indication of what might be strong going into the first quarter of the next year. Gold stocks are picking up steam, that becomes a viable sector to watch immediately after the first of the year. The bearish trading yesterday made the prospects of breaching the 20,000 level in the Dow more tentative. Investors became more discouraged the longer it took to get up through that level. This is a perfect illustration that prices move based upon investor sentiment, not fundamental reasons. Use the analysis of each individual stock chart to decide whether to remain long or short in specific stock positions.

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December 28th Daily Market Comments

Unfortunately the quest for breaching the 20,000 mark in the Dow is occurring during a time when there is not a whole great amount of investing occurring, the slow period between Christmas and New Year’s. Because investor sentiment is what moves trends, the lack of buying pressure at the 20,000 level may create discouragement that starts investors to take profits, further reducing the prospects of going through that level at this time. Currently the indexes continue to trade above the T-line. But be prepared to close out positions if the market starts showing definite selling, indicating the major hurdle at 20,000 is not currently going to be breached. However, it is still early in the day.

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Trending Stocks: ALXN, IEP

Alexion Pharma (ALXN)

Chart for ALXN

Over the next 13 weeks, Alexion Pharma has on average historically risen by 11.1% based on the past 20 years of stock performance.

Alexion Pharma has risen higher by an average 11.1% in 12 of those 20 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Alexion Pharma, based on historical prices, is 7 weeks. Should Alexion Pharma stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 112% could result.

Icahn Enterprises L.P. (IEP)

Chart for IEP

Over the next 13 weeks, Icahn Enterprises L.P. has on average historically risen by 4.9% based on the past 29 years of stock performance.

Icahn Enterprises L.P. has risen higher by an average 4.9% in 20 of those 29 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 68%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Icahn Enterprises L.P., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Icahn Enterprises L.P. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 150% could result.

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Trending Stocks: ASTE, CVGW, KMX, PFBC, TSRO

Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE)

Chart for ASTE

Over the next 13 weeks, Astec Industries, Inc. has on average historically risen by 11.6% based on the past 30 years of stock performance.

Astec Industries, Inc. has risen higher by an average 11.6%in 24 of those 30 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 80%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Astec Industries, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Astec Industries, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 88% could result.

Calavo Growers Inc. (CVGW)

Chart for CVGW

Over the next 13 weeks, Calavo Growers Inc. has on average historically risen by 4.4% based on the past 14 years of stock performance.

Calavo Growers Inc. has risen higher by an average 4.4%in 9 of those 14 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 64%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Calavo Growers Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Calavo Growers Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 63% could result.

CarMax (KMX)

Chart for KMX

Over the next 13 weeks, CarMax has on average historically risen by 12.5% based on the past 19 years of stock performance.

CarMax has risen higher by an average 12.5%in 12 of those 19 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 63%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for CarMax, based on historical prices, is 19 weeks. Should CarMax stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 61% could result.

Preferred Bank (PFBC)

Chart for PFBC

Over the next 13 weeks, Preferred Bank has on average historically risen by 7.8% based on the past 17 years of stock performance.

Preferred Bank has risen higher by an average 7.8%in 8 of those 17 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 47%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Preferred Bank, based on historical prices, is 7 weeks. Should Preferred Bank stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 36% could result.

Tesaro, Inc. (TSRO)

Chart for TSRO

Over the next 13 weeks, Tesaro, Inc. has on average historically risen by 30.5% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Tesaro, Inc. has risen higher by an average 30.5%in 4 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Tesaro, Inc., based on historical prices, is 11 weeks. Should Tesaro, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 174% could result.

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December 20th Daily Market Comments

The push for the Dow 20,000 is still in progress. The Dow chart remains strong, producing a potential J-hook pattern again during this uptrend, the same can be said for the NASDAQ and the S&P 500. Continue to hold long positions, there are a few short positions that can be added to the portfolio as insurance, IE LVS, SSYS. However, the majority of the positions should be going with the flow, uptrending.

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Trending Stocks: AAMC, CASH, CWEI, IDCC, UHS

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT (AAMC)

Chart for AAMC

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has on average historically fallen by 23.5% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT has fallen lower by an average 23.5%in 2 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE ASSET MGMT stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 223% could result.

Meta Financial Group, Inc. (CASH)

Chart for CASH

Over the next 13 weeks, Meta Financial Group, Inc. has on average historically risen by 4.9% based on the past 23 years of stock performance.

Meta Financial Group, Inc. has risen higher by an average 4.9%in 15 of those 23 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 65%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Meta Financial Group, Inc., based on historical prices, is 33 weeks. Should Meta Financial Group, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 36% could result.

Clayton Williams Energy Inc. (CWEI)

Chart for CWEI

Over the next 13 weeks, Clayton Williams Energy Inc. has on average historically fallen by 7.3% based on the past 23 years of stock performance.

Clayton Williams Energy Inc. has fallen lower by an average 7.3%in 14 of those 23 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Clayton Williams Energy Inc., based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Clayton Williams Energy Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 92% could result.

InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC)

Chart for IDCC

Over the next 13 weeks, InterDigital, Inc. has on average historically risen by 16.8% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

InterDigital, Inc. has risen higher by an average 16.8%in 17 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 65%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for InterDigital, Inc., based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should InterDigital, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 259% could result.

Universal Health Services Inc. Cl B (UHS)

Chart for UHS

Over the next 13 weeks, Universal Health Services Inc. Cl B has on average historically risen by 8% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

Universal Health Services Inc. Cl B has risen higher by an average 8%in 16 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 61%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Universal Health Services Inc. Cl B, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Universal Health Services Inc. Cl B stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 65% could result.

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December 16th Daily Market Comments

The markets remain in an uptrend, with today’s positive trading gaining back most of yesterday’s positive trading range before selling off going into the close. The market indexes have the potential of profit-taking while trading in the overbought condition but the signs of selling have not been confirmed. The uptrend remains in progress. Numerous candlestick price patterns are working well, AQXP up 15% yesterday, PGNX setting up the same pattern potential. Continue to stay long, especially in the candlestick patterns that are in the process of breaking out.

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December 15th Daily Market Comments

The Dow and S&P 500 have opened lower today but have not moved cents then, creating a small Doji so far. The NASDAQ is currently trading absolutely flat. This may be a wait and see day until the Fed meeting. Nothing has changed as far as investor sentiment. The uptrend remains in progress but it may be without much movement most of today.

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Trending Stocks: JOUT, TEX

Johnson Outdoors Inc. (JOUT)

Chart for JOUT

Over the next 13 weeks, Johnson Outdoors Inc. has on average historically risen by 8.1% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

Johnson Outdoors Inc. has risen higher by an average 8.1%in 16 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 61%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Johnson Outdoors Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Johnson Outdoors Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 57% could result.

Terex Corp. (TEX)

Chart for TEX

Over the next 13 weeks, Terex Corp. has on average historically risen by 15.1% based on the past 26 years of stock performance.

Terex Corp. has risen higher by an average 15.1%in 21 of those 26 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 80%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Terex Corp., based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Terex Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 91% could result.

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