Archives for September 2016

September 30th Daily Market Comments

The indecisive nature of the market is illustrated once again today, keeping the market trend in an absolutely flat/sideways mode. This continues to make each individual stock chart the most relevant factor. Currently, there are both good bullish charts as well as good bearish charts. These market conditions warrant having both long and short positions in the portfolio.

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Trending Stocks: BITA, EGRX, KITE, SNX, SVXY, WB, YELP

Bitauto Holdings Ltd. (BITA)

Chart for BITA

Over the next 13 weeks, Bitauto Holdings Ltd. has on average historically risen by 23.1% based on the past 6 years of stock performance.

Bitauto Holdings Ltd. has risen higherby an average 23.1%in 3 of those 6 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Bitauto Holdings Ltd., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Bitauto Holdings Ltd. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 523% could result.

Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (EGRX)

Chart for EGRX

Over the next 13 weeks, Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has on average historically risen by 15.6% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has risen higherby an average 15.6%in 2 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc., based on historical prices, is 45 weeks. Should Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 397% could result.

Kite Pharma, Inc. (KITE)

Chart for KITE

Over the next 13 weeks, Kite Pharma, Inc. has on average historically risen by 51.1% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Kite Pharma, Inc. has risen higherby an average 51.1%in 2 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Kite Pharma, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Kite Pharma, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 856% could result.

SYNNEX Corp. (SNX)

Chart for SNX

Over the next 13 weeks, SYNNEX Corp. has on average historically risen by 6.1% based on the past 13 years of stock performance.

SYNNEX Corp. has risen higherby an average 6.1%in 7 of those 13 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 53%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for SYNNEX Corp., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should SYNNEX Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 115% could result.

ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF (SVXY)

Chart for SVXY

Over the next 13 weeks, ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF has on average historically risen by 2.1% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF has risen higherby an average 2.1%in 2 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 40%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF, based on historical prices, is 8 weeks. Should ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 66% could result.

Weibo Corporation (WB)

Chart for WB

Over the next 13 weeks, Weibo Corporation has on average historically risen by 25.1% based on the past 2 years of stock performance.

Weibo Corporation has risen higherby an average 25.1%in 1 of those 2 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Weibo Corporation, based on historical prices, is 4 weeks. Should Weibo Corporation stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 251% could result.

Yelp, Inc. (YELP)

Chart for YELP

Over the next 13 weeks, Yelp, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 7.6% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Yelp, Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 7.6%in 3 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Yelp, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Yelp, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 149% could result.

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September 29 Daily Market Comments

The markets continue to demonstrate a lack of conviction. Today’s indecisive trading illustrates the trend channel as being the strongest indicator. However, individual sectors continue to outperform. Crude oil stocks are gaining strength with the prospect of Saudi Arabia cutting production. Utilize each individual stock chart pattern as the main criteria.

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September 28th Daily Market Comments

Today’s lack of conviction, after yesterday’s strong bullish day, continues to make the sideways trend channel the likely trend evaluation. This lack of enthusiasm in the overall market trend continues to make each individual stock chart the predominant evaluation. The biotech’s appear to be picking up steam. Gold remains in a sideways mode. Crude oil is still in a sideways wedge formation. The summer doldrums appear to have continued into the fall.

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September 27th Daily Market Comments

The candlestick charts continue to make relevant statements. The Dow is forming a bullish Harami so far today. If it closes as a bullish Harami, a trend channel could be setting up.

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Trending Stocks: CLVS, CORR, HY, SCAI, SRPT, TREE, WY

Clovis Oncology, Inc. (CLVS)

Chart for CLVS

Over the next 13 weeks, Clovis Oncology, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 24.4% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

Clovis Oncology, Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 24.4%in 3 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Clovis Oncology, Inc., based on historical prices, is 44 weeks. Should Clovis Oncology, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 62% could result.

CORENERGY INFRASTRUCT (CORR)

Chart for CORR

Over the next 13 weeks, CORENERGY INFRASTRUCT has on average historically fallen by 15.3% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.

CORENERGY INFRASTRUCT has fallen lowerby an average 15.3%in 6 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for CORENERGY INFRASTRUCT, based on historical prices, is 29 weeks. Should CORENERGY INFRASTRUCT stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 5% could result.

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc. (HY)

Chart for HY

Over the next 13 weeks, Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc. has on average historically risen by 1% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc. has risen higherby an average 1%in 1 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 25%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc., based on historical prices, is 26 weeks. Should Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 28% could result.

SURGICAL CARE AFFILIATE (SCAI)

Chart for SCAI

Over the next 13 weeks, SURGICAL CARE AFFILIATE has on average historically risen by 8.3% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

SURGICAL CARE AFFILIATE has risen higherby an average 8.3%in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for SURGICAL CARE AFFILIATE, based on historical prices, is 31 weeks. Should SURGICAL CARE AFFILIATE stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 54% could result.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT)

Chart for SRPT

Over the next 13 weeks, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 4.9% based on the past 19 years of stock performance.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 4.9%in 11 of those 19 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 57%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 205% could result.

Tree.Com, Inc. (TREE)

Chart for TREE

Over the next 13 weeks, Tree.Com, Inc. has on average historically risen by 1.6% based on the past 8 years of stock performance.

Tree.Com, Inc. has risen higherby an average 1.6%in 6 of those 8 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Tree.Com, Inc., based on historical prices, is 48 weeks. Should Tree.Com, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 75% could result.

Weyerhauser (WY)

Chart for WY

Over the next 13 weeks, Weyerhauser has on average historically risen by 3.6% based on the past 32 years of stock performance.

Weyerhauser has risen higherby an average 3.6%in 21 of those 32 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 65%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Weyerhauser, based on historical prices, is 32 weeks. Should Weyerhauser stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 25% could result.

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September 22nd, 2016

The most compelling confirmation today was the gap up through the resistance level in the NASDAQ, confirming a scoop pattern breakout. The S&P 500 gapped up through the 50 day moving average, also in the process of forming a scoop pattern. The Dow has gapped up and is currently nudging the 50 day moving average. The market trend has prospects of going much higher if today’s trading closes near the high end of its trading range, scoop pattern slingshot affects.

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Trending Stocks: AERI, CLVS, DTSI, ICPT, PBYI, SRPT, TBRA

AERIE PHARMACEUTICALS (AERI)

Chart for AERI

Over the next 13 weeks, AERIE PHARMACEUTICALS has on average historically risen by 25.2% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

AERIE PHARMACEUTICALS has risen higherby an average 25.2%in 1 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 33%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for AERIE PHARMACEUTICALS, based on historical prices, is 11 weeks. Should AERIE PHARMACEUTICALS stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 114% could result.

Clovis Oncology, Inc. (CLVS)

Chart for CLVS

Over the next 13 weeks, Clovis Oncology, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 24.4% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

Clovis Oncology, Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 24.4%in 3 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 60%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Clovis Oncology, Inc., based on historical prices, is 44 weeks. Should Clovis Oncology, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 62% could result.

DTS Inc. (DTSI)

Chart for DTSI

Over the next 13 weeks, DTS Inc. has on average historically fallen by 0.8% based on the past 13 years of stock performance.

DTS Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 0.8%in 7 of those 13 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 53%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for DTS Inc., based on historical prices, is 37 weeks. Should DTS Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 3% could result.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ICPT)

Chart for ICPT

Over the next 13 weeks, Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 20.2% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 20.2%in 3 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc., based on historical prices, is 17 weeks. Should Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 528% could result.

Puma Biotechnology, Inc. (PBYI)

Chart for PBYI

Over the next 13 weeks, Puma Biotechnology, Inc. has on average historically risen by 14.6% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Puma Biotechnology, Inc. has risen higherby an average 14.6%in 2 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 50%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Puma Biotechnology, Inc., based on historical prices, is 52 weeks. Should Puma Biotechnology, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 137% could result.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT)

Chart for SRPT

Over the next 13 weeks, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. has on average historically fallen by 4.9% based on the past 19 years of stock performance.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. has fallen lowerby an average 4.9%in 11 of those 19 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 57%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc., based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 205% could result.

Tobira Therapeutics Inc (TBRA)

Chart for TBRA

Over the next 13 weeks, Tobira Therapeutics Inc has on average historically fallen by 27.6% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

Tobira Therapeutics Inc has fallen lowerby an average 27.6%in 3 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Tobira Therapeutics Inc, based on historical prices, is 39 weeks. Should Tobira Therapeutics Inc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 53% could result.

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September 21st Daily Market Comments

Both the Dow and the S&P 500 have gapped up slightly today, above yesterday’s open and continue to trade positive. This little kicker signal at the T-line provides more compelling evidence that the Bulls want to take control. Add to that, the NASDAQ gapping up trying to push through the upper resistance level. The T-line, along with a strong candlestick signal today, still remains the predominant trend indicator.

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September 20th Daily Market Comments

Today’s positive trading is bringing both the Dow and the S&P 500 backup above the T-line, creating a slow bottoming action created by a piercing signal and a Morning Star signal over the past week and a half. The NASDAQ remains consistent above the T-line, making a scoop type pattern. Additional positive trading in the NASDAQ would create a breakout/bullish slingshot effect. Continue to stay predominantly long in the bullish candlestick patterns.

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