Archives for March 2017

March 31st Daily Market Comments

The weakness in today’s trading does not demonstrate any major change of investor sentiment. The slight selling in the indexes is not producing any reversal signals and the indexes are still trading above the T-line, the Dow trading right on the T-line. The lack of any major change of investor sentiment continues to make each individual sector/stock the main criteria. Stay long with a few short positions.

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March 30th Daily Market Comments

The current positive trading today indicates the Washington rhetoric is not deterring investor sentiment. The candlestick charts reveal that although bullish strength in the markets may not be overwhelming, at least it is revealing there has not yet been any change of investor sentiment. The uptrend remains in progress as long as the indexes continue to trade above the T-line. Today, the Dow is trying to climb up through the T-line.The current positive trading today indicates the Washington rhetoric is not deterring investor sentiment. The candlestick charts reveal that although bullish strength in the markets may not be overwhelming, at least it is revealing there has not yet been any change of investor sentiment. The uptrend remains in progress as long as the indexes continue to trade above the T-line. Today, the Dow is trying to climb up through the T-line.

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Trending Stocks: ASPS, REN, SVXY

ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO (ASPS)

Chart for ASPS

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO has on average historically risen by 32.3% based on the past 7 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO has risen higher by an average 32.3% in 6 of those 7 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 85%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO, based on historical prices, is 2 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 302% could result.

Resolute Energy Corporation (REN)

Chart for REN

Over the next 13 weeks, Resolute Energy Corporation has on average historically risen by 7.4% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.

Resolute Energy Corporation has risen higher by an average 7.4% in 6 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Resolute Energy Corporation, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should Resolute Energy Corporation stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 224% could result.

ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF (SVXY)

Chart for SVXY

Over the next 13 weeks, ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF has on average historically risen by 11.3% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF has risen higher by an average 11.3% in 2 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 40%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF, based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should ProShares Short VIX Short Term Futures ETF stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 137% could result.

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March 29th Daily Market Comments

With the Dow trading lower and the NASDAQ trading higher, this illustrates the markets are very sector specific. The biotech’s, as seen in LABU, continues to act very well. CARA, CLSD, EXAS continue to act very bullish. Stay predominantly long, with a few short positions in the portfolio, as long as the short positions are not showing any bullish sentiment I.E. UFS. Currently the market indexes are not showing any dramatic bullish sentiment or bearish sentiment, allowing each sector to perform. This is why it’s important to project price targets.

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March 28th Daily Market Comments

The NASDAQ is having problems getting through the T-line after yesterday’s bullish engulfing signal. The Dow is trading slightly positive but the big bullish indicator today is the transportation index trading positive, heading back up to test the T-line. Although there isn’t any rampant buying today, there isn’t anything to indicate any major change of investor sentiment, implying the markets may have found a support at the 50 day moving average yesterday. The prognosis remains the same, this market is sector specific. Biotech’s are acting well, hospital stocks appear to be picking up strength, semi conductors are showing strength.

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March 27th Daily Market Comments

The expected knee-jerk reaction to the cancellation of the health bill has taken the Dow right down to the projected target, the 50 day moving average. Although the market indexes are trading lower today, the NASDAQ, the S&P 500, and the transportation index are trading above where they opened. The Dow is trading towards the higher end of its trading range so far today. This implies the selling is not of a rampant nature. Numerous stocks that were trading in good uptrends last week opened lower today but now are continuing to trade positive. The markets continue to show continued strength in specific sectors. Have both long and short in the portfolio.

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Trending Stocks: ASPS, DXPE, FIVE, PVH, VRNS

ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO (ASPS)

Chart for ASPS

Over the next 13 weeks, ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO has on average historically risen by 31.7% based on the past 7 years of stock performance.

ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO has risen higher by an average 31.7% in 6 of those 7 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 85%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO, based on historical prices, is 3 weeks. Should ALTISOURCE PORTFOLIO stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 184% could result.

DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE)

Chart for DXPE

Over the next 13 weeks, DXP Enterprises, Inc. has on average historically risen by 9% based on the past 18 years of stock performance.

DXP Enterprises, Inc. has risen higher by an average 9% in 11 of those 18 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 61%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for DXP Enterprises, Inc., based on historical prices, is 8 weeks. Should DXP Enterprises, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 98% could result.

Five Below, Inc. (FIVE)

Chart for FIVE

Over the next 13 weeks, Five Below, Inc. has on average historically risen by 8.6% based on the past 4 years of stock performance.

Five Below, Inc. has risen higher by an average 8.6% in 3 of those 4 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Five Below, Inc., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should Five Below, Inc. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 185% could result.

PVH Corp. (PVH)

Chart for PVH

Over the next 13 weeks, PVH Corp. has on average historically risen by 10.6% based on the past 29 years of stock performance.

PVH Corp. has risen higher by an average 10.6% in 22 of those 29 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 75%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for PVH Corp., based on historical prices, is 1 week. Should PVH Corp. stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 174% could result.

VARONIS SYSTEMS INC (VRNS)

Chart for VRNS

Over the next 13 weeks, VARONIS SYSTEMS INC has on average historically fallen by 8.8% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

VARONIS SYSTEMS INC has fallen lower by an average 8.8% in 2 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 66%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for VARONIS SYSTEMS INC, based on historical prices, is 45 weeks. Should VARONIS SYSTEMS INC stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 3% could result.

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March 24th Daily Market Comments

Today’s healthcare vote remains the prominent influence of the market movement. With the market not moving with any great decisiveness yet, each individual stock chart remains the predominant evaluation. Biotech stocks continue to act well. Gold stocks are attempting to hold up, oil stocks are still in downtrends. Each sector needs to be evaluated.

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March 23rd Daily Market Comments

The market direction is definitely a function of whether the healthcare vote is going to be positive, negative, or postponed. Yesterday’s Doji in the Dow and S&P 500 occurred on a downtrending support line. Today’s positive trading has the inkling of moving back up to test the T-line. However, the reactionary move is still going to be predicated upon the number of likely votes for or against a new healthcare plan. Stay diligent.

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Trending Stocks: ESPR, JAZZ, LJPC

ESPERION THERAPEUTICS (ESPR)

Chart for ESPR

Over the next 13 weeks, ESPERION THERAPEUTICS has on average historically fallen by 6.3% based on the past 3 years of stock performance.

ESPERION THERAPEUTICS has fallen lower by an average 6.3% in 1 of those 3 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 33%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for ESPERION THERAPEUTICS, based on historical prices, is 52 weeks. Should ESPERION THERAPEUTICS stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 125% could result.

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ)

Chart for JAZZ

Over the next 13 weeks, Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc has on average historically risen by 30% based on the past 9 years of stock performance.

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc has risen higher by an average 30% in 5 of those 9 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 55%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc, based on historical prices, is 24 weeks. Should Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 232% could result.

La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company (LJPC)

Chart for LJPC

Over the next 13 weeks, La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company has on average historically fallen by 12.9% based on the past 5 years of stock performance.

La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company has fallen lower by an average 12.9% in 5 of those 5 years over the subsequent 13 week period,corresponding to a historical probability of 100%

The holding period that leads to the greatest annualized return for La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company, based on historical prices, is 52 weeks. Should La Jolla Pharmaceutical Company stock move in the future similarly to its average historical movement over this duration, an annualized return of 93% could result.

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